The insurance
business is subject to specific risks, for the assessment and forecasting of
which requires an adapted toolkit, including a system of indicators, methods
for their calculation and evaluation. For the insurance industry, a reliable
scientifically based risk assessment methodology will allow to diagnose in a
timely manner factors that can lead to negative consequences or unfavorable
circumstances that can lead to non-fulfillment of the assumed obligations to
the insured and to develop in the most timely manner the most effective model
for making managerial decisions. The methodological platform of this study was
such risk analysis methods as sensitivity analysis, decision tree, scenario
method, Monte Carlo method, rating evaluation. The information base of the
research includes indicators of financial statements of insurance companies and
credit ratings of well-known rating agencies. The result of the study is a
comprehensive methodology for the integrated assessment and forecasting of
risks of insurance companies, based on a system of financial indicators
weighted by the probability of default, as well as non-financial indicators
that take into account the company's rating and unprofitable business lines.
Scientific results are tested on the example of one of the largest Russian
insurance companies.
Birincil Dil | İngilizce |
---|---|
Bölüm | Makaleler |
Yazarlar | |
Yayımlanma Tarihi | 10 Ocak 2019 |
Gönderilme Tarihi | 30 Ekim 2018 |
Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2018Cilt: 4 Sayı: 12 |
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