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Göçün Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkileri: Seçilmiş Ülkeler Üzerine Panel Veri Analizi

Year 2023, Volume: 26 Issue: 1, 20 - 34, 30.04.2023
https://doi.org/10.29249/selcuksbmyd.1033668

Abstract

Göç, son yıllarda sık sık tartışılan konulardan biridir. Bu nedenle bu çalışmanın amacı seçilmiş ülkelerde göçün ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisini ortaya koymaktır. Çalışmada göç ve ekonomik büyüme ile ilgili ampirik literatür incelenerek farklı ülkeler üzerinden örnekler verilmektedir. Göçün seçilmiş ülkelerin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkileri, 2006–2017 dönemine ait verilerle tahmin edilmektedir. Ülke seçiminde 2011 yılından itibaren en fazla Suriyeli mülteci alan ülkeler kriteri dikkate alınmıştır. Bu kapsamda analizde Türkiye, Lübnan, Ürdün, Almanya, Irak, Mısır, İsveç, Avusturya, Amerika ve Kanada’ya ait veriler kullanılmıştır. Çalışmamızın sonucunda ülkeye gelen mültecilerin ekonomik büyümeye katkısının pozitif ve istatistiksel açıdan anlamlı olduğu belirlenmiştir. Ülkeye gelen mülteci sayısında %1 oranında artış ekonomik büyüme oranında %0.01’lik artışa sebep olmaktadır.

References

  • Aksoy, Zeynep, (2012) “Uluslararası Göç ve Kültürlerarası İletişim”, Uluslararası Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 5(20), s. 292-303.
  • Birleşmiş Milletler Mülteciler Yüksek Komiserliği (UNHCR), https://www.unhcr.org/refugee-statistics/download/?url=9Drq0B, Son Erişim Tarihi: 24.11.2021.
  • Boubtane, Ekrame, Coulibaly, Dramane ve Rault, Christophe, (2012) “Immigration, Growth and Unemployment: Panel VAR Evidence from OECD Countries”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 6966, October 2012.
  • Boubtane, Ekrame, Dumont, Jean-Christophe ve Rault, Christophe, (2014) “Immigration and Economic Growth in the OECD Countries”, 1986-2006”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 8681, November 2014.
  • Brücker, Herbert ve Schröder, Philipp J. H., (2006) “International Migration with Heterogeneous Agents: Theory and Evidence”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 2049, March 2006.
  • Chen, Hung-Ju, (2006) “International Migration and Economic Growth: A Source Country Perspective”, Journal of Population Economics, Vol. 19, No. 4, s.725-748, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-005-0023-1.
  • Dolago, Juan , Goria, Alessandra ve Ichino, Andrea, (1994) “Immigration, human capital and growth in the host country”, Journal of Population Economics, 7, s.193-215, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00173619.
  • Docquier, Frédéric, Peri, Giovanni ve Ruyssen, Ilse, (2014) “The Cross-country Determinants of Potential and Actual Migration”, International Migration Review, 48, s.37-99.
  • Drazenovic, Ivana, Kunovac, Marina ve Pripužić, Dominik, (2018) “Dynamics and Determinants of Migration - The case of Croatia and Experience of New EU Member States”, The Twenty-Fourth Dubrovnik Economic Conference. June 3-5, Dubrovnic, Croatia.
  • Felbermayr, Gabriel J. , Hiller, Sanne ve Sala, Davide, (2010) “Does immigration boost per capita income?”, Economics Letters, 107 (2010), s. 177–179, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2010.01.017.
  • Gençler, Ayhan, (2002) “Yabancı Kaçak İşçilik Gerçeği ve Türkiye Örneği” , TÜHİS, s.28-46.
  • Göv, Abdullah ve Dürrü, Zerrin, (2017) “Göç ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Seçilmiş OECD Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz”, International Journal Of Economic Studies, 3(4), s. 491-502.
  • Hsiao, Cheng, (2003) Analysis of Panel Data, Cambridge University Press.
  • Jennissen, Roel, (2003) “Economic Determinants of Net International Migration in Western Europe”, European Journal of Population, 19, s. 171-198.
  • Kabaklarlı, Esra, (2016) “Mülteci Akımını Belirleyen Faktörlerin Makro Ekonomik Panel Veri Analizi (Ortadoğu ve Türkiye)”, Aksaray Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 8(2), s. 56-60.
  • Kang. Youngho ve Kim, Byung-Yeon, (2018) “Immigration and economic growth: do origin and destination matter?”, Applied Economics, 50(46), s. 4968-4984, https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466987.
  • Kırdar, Murat G. ve Saracoğlu, D.Şirin, (2012) “İç Göç, Bölgesel Yakınsama Sorunu ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Türkiye Örneği”, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, TEK Tartışma Metni, 2012/75.
  • Maddala, G.S. ve Wu, Shaowen, (1999) “A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, special issue, s. 631- 652, https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1631.
  • Maria, Corrado Di ve Lazarova, Emiliya A. ,(2012) “Migration, Human Capital Formation, and Growth: An Empirical Investigation”, World Development, 40(5), s. 938–955, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.11.011.
  • Mayda, Anna Maria, (2010) “International Migration: A Panel Data Analysis of The Determinants of Bilateral Ows”. Journal of Population Economics, 23(4), s.1249-1274.
  • Morley, Bruce (2006), “Causality between economic growth and immigration: An ARDL bounds testing approach”, Economics Letters, 90 (2006), s. 72–76, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2005.07.008.
  • Naudé, Wim (2010), “The Determinants of Migration From Sub-Saharan African Countries”, Journal of African Economies, 19(3), s. 330-356.
  • Ortega, Francesc ve Peri, Giovanni, (2013) “Migration, Trade and Income”, IZA Discussion Papers No. 7325, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn.
  • Öztürk, Serdar ve Altınöz, Buket, (2020) “Uluslararası Göç Hareketlerinin Temel Makroekonomik Göstergeler ile İlişkisi: G7 Ülkeleri İçin Panel Veri Analizi”, Nişantaşı Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(8) s.86-93.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem, (2007) “A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2), s.265-312, https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951.
  • Sevinç, Haktan, Bozkurt, Eda, Künü, Serkan ve Sevinç, Demet Eroğlu, (2016) “Ekonomik Büyüme ve Göç İlişkisi: Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelere Dayalı Bir Analiz”, International Conference On Eurasian Economies 2016, s. 398-403, Kaposvár, Hungary, https://www.avekon.org/papers/1715.pdf.
  • Tatoğlu, Ferda, (2016) Panel Veri Ekonometrisi Stata Uygulamalı (3. Baskı). İstanbul: Beta Yayınları.
  • Walz, Uwe, (1993) “On the Growth (Rate) Effects of Migration”, Tübinger Diskussionsbeiträge, No. 24, University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics.
  • World Bank, World Development Indicators, https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators#, Son Erişim Tarihi: 24.11.2021.

Effects of Migration on Economic Growth: Panel Data Analysis On Selected Countries

Year 2023, Volume: 26 Issue: 1, 20 - 34, 30.04.2023
https://doi.org/10.29249/selcuksbmyd.1033668

Abstract

Migration is one of the topics that has been discussed frequently in recent years. Therefore, the aim of this study is to reveal the effect of migration on economic growth in selected countries. In the study, empirical literature on migration and economic growth is examined and examples are given from different countries. The effects of migration on economic growth of selected countries are estimated with data for the period 2006–2017. In country selection, the criteria of countries receiving the highest number of Syrian refugees since 2011 have been taken into account. In this context, data from Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Germany, Iraq, Egypt, Sweden, Austria, America and Canada were used in the analysis. As a result of our study, it was determined that the contribution of refugees to the country's economic growth was positive and statistically significant. An increase of 1% in the number of refugees coming to the country causes an increase of 0.01% in the economic growth rate.

References

  • Aksoy, Zeynep, (2012) “Uluslararası Göç ve Kültürlerarası İletişim”, Uluslararası Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 5(20), s. 292-303.
  • Birleşmiş Milletler Mülteciler Yüksek Komiserliği (UNHCR), https://www.unhcr.org/refugee-statistics/download/?url=9Drq0B, Son Erişim Tarihi: 24.11.2021.
  • Boubtane, Ekrame, Coulibaly, Dramane ve Rault, Christophe, (2012) “Immigration, Growth and Unemployment: Panel VAR Evidence from OECD Countries”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 6966, October 2012.
  • Boubtane, Ekrame, Dumont, Jean-Christophe ve Rault, Christophe, (2014) “Immigration and Economic Growth in the OECD Countries”, 1986-2006”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 8681, November 2014.
  • Brücker, Herbert ve Schröder, Philipp J. H., (2006) “International Migration with Heterogeneous Agents: Theory and Evidence”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 2049, March 2006.
  • Chen, Hung-Ju, (2006) “International Migration and Economic Growth: A Source Country Perspective”, Journal of Population Economics, Vol. 19, No. 4, s.725-748, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-005-0023-1.
  • Dolago, Juan , Goria, Alessandra ve Ichino, Andrea, (1994) “Immigration, human capital and growth in the host country”, Journal of Population Economics, 7, s.193-215, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00173619.
  • Docquier, Frédéric, Peri, Giovanni ve Ruyssen, Ilse, (2014) “The Cross-country Determinants of Potential and Actual Migration”, International Migration Review, 48, s.37-99.
  • Drazenovic, Ivana, Kunovac, Marina ve Pripužić, Dominik, (2018) “Dynamics and Determinants of Migration - The case of Croatia and Experience of New EU Member States”, The Twenty-Fourth Dubrovnik Economic Conference. June 3-5, Dubrovnic, Croatia.
  • Felbermayr, Gabriel J. , Hiller, Sanne ve Sala, Davide, (2010) “Does immigration boost per capita income?”, Economics Letters, 107 (2010), s. 177–179, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2010.01.017.
  • Gençler, Ayhan, (2002) “Yabancı Kaçak İşçilik Gerçeği ve Türkiye Örneği” , TÜHİS, s.28-46.
  • Göv, Abdullah ve Dürrü, Zerrin, (2017) “Göç ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Seçilmiş OECD Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz”, International Journal Of Economic Studies, 3(4), s. 491-502.
  • Hsiao, Cheng, (2003) Analysis of Panel Data, Cambridge University Press.
  • Jennissen, Roel, (2003) “Economic Determinants of Net International Migration in Western Europe”, European Journal of Population, 19, s. 171-198.
  • Kabaklarlı, Esra, (2016) “Mülteci Akımını Belirleyen Faktörlerin Makro Ekonomik Panel Veri Analizi (Ortadoğu ve Türkiye)”, Aksaray Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 8(2), s. 56-60.
  • Kang. Youngho ve Kim, Byung-Yeon, (2018) “Immigration and economic growth: do origin and destination matter?”, Applied Economics, 50(46), s. 4968-4984, https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466987.
  • Kırdar, Murat G. ve Saracoğlu, D.Şirin, (2012) “İç Göç, Bölgesel Yakınsama Sorunu ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Türkiye Örneği”, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, TEK Tartışma Metni, 2012/75.
  • Maddala, G.S. ve Wu, Shaowen, (1999) “A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, special issue, s. 631- 652, https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1631.
  • Maria, Corrado Di ve Lazarova, Emiliya A. ,(2012) “Migration, Human Capital Formation, and Growth: An Empirical Investigation”, World Development, 40(5), s. 938–955, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.11.011.
  • Mayda, Anna Maria, (2010) “International Migration: A Panel Data Analysis of The Determinants of Bilateral Ows”. Journal of Population Economics, 23(4), s.1249-1274.
  • Morley, Bruce (2006), “Causality between economic growth and immigration: An ARDL bounds testing approach”, Economics Letters, 90 (2006), s. 72–76, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2005.07.008.
  • Naudé, Wim (2010), “The Determinants of Migration From Sub-Saharan African Countries”, Journal of African Economies, 19(3), s. 330-356.
  • Ortega, Francesc ve Peri, Giovanni, (2013) “Migration, Trade and Income”, IZA Discussion Papers No. 7325, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn.
  • Öztürk, Serdar ve Altınöz, Buket, (2020) “Uluslararası Göç Hareketlerinin Temel Makroekonomik Göstergeler ile İlişkisi: G7 Ülkeleri İçin Panel Veri Analizi”, Nişantaşı Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(8) s.86-93.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem, (2007) “A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2), s.265-312, https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951.
  • Sevinç, Haktan, Bozkurt, Eda, Künü, Serkan ve Sevinç, Demet Eroğlu, (2016) “Ekonomik Büyüme ve Göç İlişkisi: Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelere Dayalı Bir Analiz”, International Conference On Eurasian Economies 2016, s. 398-403, Kaposvár, Hungary, https://www.avekon.org/papers/1715.pdf.
  • Tatoğlu, Ferda, (2016) Panel Veri Ekonometrisi Stata Uygulamalı (3. Baskı). İstanbul: Beta Yayınları.
  • Walz, Uwe, (1993) “On the Growth (Rate) Effects of Migration”, Tübinger Diskussionsbeiträge, No. 24, University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics.
  • World Bank, World Development Indicators, https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators#, Son Erişim Tarihi: 24.11.2021.
There are 29 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Original Research Articles
Authors

Sevilay Konya 0000-0002-0483-4139

Esra Kabaklarlı 0000-0001-7205-8584

Publication Date April 30, 2023
Submission Date December 14, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 26 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Konya, S., & Kabaklarlı, E. (2023). Göçün Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkileri: Seçilmiş Ülkeler Üzerine Panel Veri Analizi. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu Dergisi, 26(1), 20-34. https://doi.org/10.29249/selcuksbmyd.1033668

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